The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the United Nations’ body for assessing the science related to climate change, recently released its sixth assessment report. I only know a couple of people who will work their way through (and understand) the 1800 page report and maybe a handful of others who will read the 89 page Summary for Policymakers. I’ve decided it’s easier to give it to our favorite media pundits’ the authority to interpret for us what the report says rather than to educate ourselves on the findings. (We all know science makes for such good reading.) I counted, there are 330 contributing authors – all pretty smart people and experts in their field. For fun, I randomly googled Dr. Anna A. Sorensson, one of the contributing scientist. She is a professor at the University of Buenos Aires in Argentina. She works on hydrological cycle in Southeastern South America using multiple tools and approaches: climate models, land surface models, satellite data and images, in situ measurements, hydrological models. What caught my attention (other than the A.1. finding in the Current State of the Climate) is the scale they use to indicate the assessed likelihood of an outcome or a result. The scale uses virtually certain 99–100% probability, very likely 90– 100%, likely 66–100%, about as likely as not 33–66%, unlikely 0–33%, very unlikely 0–10%, exceptionally unlikely 0–1%. The assessed likelihood scale of outcome certainty got me thinking. As you know my brain doesn’t think so scientifically. More often, I translate in the language of faith. So, certainty is best (and literally in Greek) defined as assurance and the root of the word assurance is foundation. Let me suggest, whatever scale you might use, you can be 100% certain your daily choices to live more Christ-like matters. Sharing God’s goodness is foundationally transformative. That’s it. It’s all I have today.
Scripture Reading: Hebrews 11:1
“Now faith is the assurance of things hoped for, the conviction of things not seen.”
How do you define assurance?
How is certitude and assurance the same or different for you?
What do you hope for?
Prayer: Holy God, bless me with the assurance of your presence and fill me with your goodness. Let me live each day shining light. Amen.